Four stocks at key support levels have upside potential of up to 43% in the short term, but one of them shows a long-term upside of 670%. That’s why analysts are taking a fresh look at them.
Maybe there really will be a Christmas rally. Or perhaps AI will deliver the worst shock, breaking the spell and dragging the market down. In this suspended atmosphere, where excitement and fear coexist, sectors that had been on the sidelines for months, like dating apps, are once again resurfacing.
It is within this uncertainty that Wall Street is moving today, a suspended equilibrium in which euphoria and fear coexist and are bringing back to the forefront sectors that had been quiet for months, like dating apps.
A sector that, during the pandemic, accelerated like few others, only to suddenly fade, worn down by excessive attention. Now, however, the sector is beginning to evolve again. 2025 marks a transitional phase: a global market that continues to expand and is projected to reach $10–13 billion by 2030, but also the beginning of a new cycle in which some long-standing platforms are showing signs of fatigue as users demand more personalized, frictionless services, aligned with their digital habits.
Recent volatility has pushed many stocks to their lowest levels, effectively stress-testing their resilience. But several analyses suggest that some valuations have become overly compressed, opening a window of opportunity. Here are four stocks that stand out for their upside potential, in some cases as high as 43%.
1) Match Group
Match Group is hovering around $31, a level that has acted as a fairly solid support area in recent months and from which several rebound attempts have been triggered. Looking at fundamentals, however, valuation multiples remain compressed, and the fair value estimated by independent analysts implies a potential upside of around 43%. Evercore ISI has maintained an “In Line” rating, suggesting no structural risks but also no immediate catalyst for a trend reversal.
A forward P/E of 8.5x is rare in tech, as is a 2.4% dividend yield, which acts almost like a safety buffer for more cautious investors. The real catalyst, however, could come from internal initiatives: the relaunch of Tinder and Project Aurora, which aim to refresh a vast but somewhat rigid ecosystem. If the market rotates back toward growth-oriented names, Match could be one of the most responsive.
2) Hello Group
Hello Group is one of those stocks that the market continues to price with skepticism despite solid fundamentals.
The price is hovering around $7, a range that has served as a support floor in recent quarters, while theoretical fair value models indicate upside potential approaching 41%. It trades at a forward P/E of approximately 9x, with a return on equity of around 9%, metrics that position it among the most overlooked value opportunities in the sector.
The long-term target, close to $68 according to some analyses, appears ambitious—perhaps even overstated—but it nonetheless highlights a clear undervaluation relative to current trading levels.
3) Grindr
Grindr is one of the fastest-growing companies in the sector, with revenue up 30% in the last quarter and margins that many digital platforms can only hope to achieve.
The stock is hovering around $13.7, a level that has acted as significant resistance in recent months, only briefly surpassed when acquisition rumors surfaced. The preliminary offer of $18 per share creates a sort of implicit price floor, while analysts’ target near $21.7 indicates that some still see upside beyond the potential transaction.
Goldman Sachs and Citizens have lowered their price targets but maintained positive ratings, suggesting that their fundamental view remains constructive.
4) Bumble
Bumble is a divisive stock. On one hand, the numbers are far from reassuring: revenue down 10% year-over-year, paying users in decline, and cautious fourth-quarter guidance. On the other hand, the stock is deeply discounted. Shares are trading at $3.30, close to all-time lows, while theoretical fair value estimates point to a potential upside of more than 50%—one of the highest in the entire sector.
Evercore ISI and Goldman Sachs have trimmed their targets but continue to hold a constructive outlook, indicating that while the situation is challenging, it may still be recoverable. The forward P/E around 1.8x is typically associated with companies undergoing severe distress or restructuring. This is exactly what Bumble represents today: a high-risk contrarian bet, but also one of those opportunities that can become surprisingly reactive during sector rotations.
|DISCLAIMER
The information and considerations contained in this article should not be used as the sole or primary basis for making investment decisions. Readers retain full freedom in their investment decisions and full responsibility for making them, as they alone know their risk appetite and time horizon. The information contained in the article is provided for informational purposes only, and its disclosure does not constitute and should not be considered an offer or solicitation to the public.| Original article published on Money.it Italy 2025-11-21 12:01:11. Original title: Potenziale rialzo del 43% per 4 azioni di app di incontri
