The entrepreneur, during a live broadcast on his social network X, said that artificial intelligence will probably surpass human intelligence by the end of 2025.
It’s been a few years since artificial intelligence appeared in our lives. This modern technology has revolutionized several strategic sectors and there is also a certain concern around it regarding the risk that it will one day surpass human technology. At that point it would be a significant problem. Many are convinced that sooner or later this will happen and many instead think not. One person espousing the first hypothesis is Elon Musk who tried to make a prediction on when this will happen, and the date is not that far away.
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To tell the truth, Elon had already said some time ago that super-intelligent artificial intelligence would arrive by 2029. Now, during a live streaming on his social network,
he talked about his vision that an intelligence will be created capable of surpassing even that of any other living being on Earth. “My guess is that we will have an AI that is smarter than any human probably towards the end of next year,” he said on the livestream.
This statement was made with the premise, however, that the growing demand for power and the shortage of the most powerful AI training chips could limit its diffusion in the short term. According to Musk, last year, artificial intelligence did not make great strides to become a more intelligent technology than humans due to the shortage of chips. "People couldn’t get enough Nvidia chips. This year it’s going to be voltage transformer power. In a year or two, it’ll just be electricity supply," Musk said.
Musk didn’t always get the forecast right
When last year he predicted that there would be the arrival of a super artificial intelligence by 2029, Musk also said he was worried about this eventuality and the possible consequences. “If I could press pause on really advanced artificial intelligence or digital superintelligence AI, I would,” he said. Yet he created xAI which will essentially build an artificial intelligence. It must be said that he didn’t always get the forecast right.
For example, in 2016 he predicted that his Tesla would be able to drive autonomously from New York to Los Angeles within two years and this did not happen. Then he also said in 2016 that his SpaceX would fly to Mars in 2018, which has not yet happened. And in 2017 he said that Neuralink’s first product, a brain chip, would arrive on the market within 4 years. And instead the first human being to have a chip implanted in his brain arrived in 2024, 7 years later.
In short, Elon Musk does not always guess well and it is not certain that he will do so this time. Artificial intelligence is now in our lives and has entered in force. In the future, could it become more intelligent than humans too? Probably yes; we are working on that. But we don’t know when this will happen.
Original article published on Money.it Italy 2024-04-11 21:37:26. Original title: AI, Elon Musk lancia l’allarme: "Manca solo 1 anno al punto di non ritorno"
