In the next US elections Donald Trump could return to the White House. According to some observers, he embodies the greatest danger of 2024.
Donald Trump has been called “the greatest danger of 2024”. A victory for former American President Trump could have devastating effects.
Donald Trump’s victory in the elections is not at all a given, even if the population seems to trust him more than the current president Joe Biden regarding, for example, economic matters. Even the civil and criminal cases against Trump seem to have strengthened him, at least as far as the Republican primaries are concerned. According to the Economist, it will be the stumbles of one or the other that will determine the race for the elections.
So why should Donald Trump be a danger in 2024? According to The Economist, Donald Trump’s victory would endanger democracy, which is already in difficulty in the United States. The very fact that Donald Trump staged a battle to "get back the stolen victory" in the last 2020 elections places the United States at risk of electoral manipulation.
The USA also has to face a swath of foreign issues: Russia and the war in Ukraine (which has the unconditional support of the EU), the Middle East and the Israel-Palestine issue and the Indo-Pacific, between the Strait of Taiwan and military relations with South Korea. But the greatest threat that Trump represents is that relating to the stability of his own country.
Could Trump’s victory be dangerous?
Donald Trump could be a danger to his country. It is very likely that after the defeat of 2020 and the "false victory" that he was talking about, Trump could try to prosecute his enemies and wage war on institutions, including the courts and the Department of Justice.
The loss of centrality of the United States in the face of global problems - not capable of protecting civil and human rights in the United States and abroad as in the case of Israel’s war crimes against the Palestinian population - puts Donald Trump in an advantageous position, contrary to what one expects. In fact, the former president could realize his dream of great power (“Make America Great Again”), nationalist and with instincts of protection and conservation.
Trump and foreign relations
Donald Trump’s administration was judged positively on relations with foreign countries . In his favor are the supply of weapons to Ukraine and the peace agreement between Israel, the United Arab Emirates, and Bahrain. On the other hand, however, relations with China have been completely frozen and it is precisely the peace agreement mentioned above that started the escalation that exploded on October 7th between Hamas and Israel.
However, the second mandate could not be more different than the first, because the world has changed a lot. The decision to do business with Ukraine or not could make a difference. In fact, Putin, knowing that America is ready to abandon Europe, would have an incentive to continue fighting in Ukraine or to expand into other former Soviet countries. There is also a real risk of exacerbating tensions between the United States and China.
In conclusion, the hypothetical transfer of power between Biden and Trump could change the shape of the world.
Original article published on Money.it Italy 2023-11-17 21:39:33. Original title: Perché Donald Trump è il più grande pericolo del 2024
