Nightmare polls for Joe Biden, trailing in 5 out of 6 key states. The failure of the war in Ukraine and the crisis in the Middle East weigh heavily, but there’s one more reason: Bidenomics doesn’t work.
The terrible mental and physical conditions, high crime in big cities, the unsatisfactory management of the economy, the out-of-control immigration, the endless wars which he promised to oppose, the unconditional support for Israel in the war in Gaza, the millions spent in the failed Ukrainian counteroffensive.
These are some of the elements which, exactly one year before the 2024 presidential elections, mean that the outgoing president Joe Biden (81 years old this November), is at a clear disadvantage in the polls compared to the former Republican president Donald J. Trump, 77 years old. According to a poll published in recent days by the New York Times and Siena College, Biden is behind Trump by 4-10% margins in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, and Pennsylvania. The tenant of the White House is ahead only in Wisconsin, by two percentage points.
Trump in the lead
In 2020, Joe Biden prevailed over Trump with 50.62% of the votes against his opponent’s 47.84%. Also in Pennsylvania, Biden won in 2020 with 50.01%, against 48.84%, similar to what happened in Nevada, where Biden defeated Trump with 50.06% to 47.67%. In Georgia and Arizona the Dem representative won by a handful of votes: in the first case by just 12 thousand votes, while in Arizona by around 10 thousand. With all the controversies - and the lawsuits initiated by Trumpian Republicans - that followed. In these six key states - all won by Biden in 2020 - the outgoing president is trailing on average with 44% compared to the 48% that the tycoon would collect at the moment. Now, despite the trials against Donald Trump, the indictments, and The Donald’s court appearances, Americans seem to be tired and dissatisfied with Biden’s presidency, his unlikely "gaffes", and his poor economic performance. Like it or not, America rediscovered its identity with former President Trump. America First, the aim of improving the quality of life of its citizens rather than spending millions of dollars on distant wars in the name of the never forgotten "Manifest Destiny". More in the image of Andrew Jackson than Woodrow Wilson.
Arab Americans turn their backs on the US president
The New York Times reports that the electorate feels widespread discontent towards Joe Biden and that the Democratic representative no longer enjoys the support of minorities and young generations as in 2020: two-thirds of the electorate sees the country moving in the wrong direction. In these states, Donald Trump garners 22% support among the African-American population, according to the NYT “a level of support never seen in presidential politics for a Republican in modern times”. The management of the war in Gaza between Hamas and Israel also fueled discontent: the Arab American News published an article in recent days in which it states that Joe Biden "has lost our votes".
According to Al Jazeera, in fact, many Palestinian, Arab, and Muslim Americans have expressed frustration for the Biden administration’s “unwavering” support for Israel’s war on Gaza. A recent poll by Arab American Institute showed a dramatic decline in support for Biden in Arab-American communities. Only 17% of respondents said they would support the president, down from 59% in 2020. Likewise, a poll by NBC News revealed that only 16% of Arab and Muslim respondents in the key state of Michigan said he would vote for Biden if the election were held today. Even former president Barack Obama seems to disavow the US administration’s line on Gaza, explaining that, in the war between Hamas and Israel, “no one has clean hands”. Words that mark a fracture between the Democrats, and which are in clear contrast with the establishment embodied by the former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, according to whom the request for a ceasefire would represent a “gift to Hamas”.
“Bidenomics” is not breaking through
Again Nbc News reports that Democratic strategists are extremely worried about the desolate results of the polls in recent weeks. The Democratic pollster Terrance Woodbury says that when he listens to the complaints of young Dem voters and African Americans in focus groups, the latter say they are frustrated by the money sent abroad - like Ukraine - rather than destined for domestic spending.
“We don’t have money for student loans, but we have money to send to Ukraine.” “We don’t have money to invest in schools, but we have money to send to the Middle East,” Woodbury said. Biden’s team has bet everything on "Bidenomics", but the result is a failure and the message does not seem to resonate with voters. On the contrary. According to polls, voters are convinced that Republicans will be able to manage the resources available to the United States better than Democrats. Just because the inflation rate has begun to decline in recent months does not mean that the cost of living in the US is not still higher than it was a few years ago. Furthermore, to limit inflation, mortgage interest rates have increased, which explains why voters are generally dissatisfied with the Biden administration’s economic policy.
At this point, with the shadow of the impeachment inquiry and Hunter Biden’s legal affairs, many in the party would like the outgoing president to take a step back. Among these also David Axelrod, the main strategist of the Democrats and one of the architects of the rise of Barack Obama to the White House, who suggested that Joe Biden should retire. But even if Biden were to withdraw, as many hope, Vice President Kamala Harris would be the natural candidate. Which, however, has an equally low approval rating. And with just one year to go, finding a replacement is not so easy.
Original article published on Money.it Italy 2023-11-09 06:41:00. Original title: Sondaggi flop per Biden: anche le minoranze (e Obama) lo scaricano
